By David Stephen —
Sedona, AZ —
Ensuring long-term stability as uncertainty mounts, in Iran, Venezuela and Cuba, could be predicated on food security and thorough small business programs, for the population.
Most of the ways that post-war uncertainty had ballooned, in several cases, after U.S. military intervention has been because of lack of anchors, for the population.
Regime change is no guarantee for long-term peace, seeing how anti-US sentiments may be stoked, by negative actors, and unrests may simmer, then fester, upending the military’s success.
This means that evolving from the past, especially for stability in the global energy markets, regional peace, migration containment, precipitation of factions, and much else may be the important work with dual approaches — food security and small businesses.
If the United States can hold the gear of how people in those places get food, cheaply, and then run their businesses, especially towards sustenance, and they know — while it is still no guarantee for peace — the deterrence against upheaval could be stronger.
This makes it as necessary as sunlight to setup international desks for tactical peace at the United States Department of Agriculture [USDA] and at the Small Business Administration [SBA].
The objective of these desks is to explore channels to anchor food production, supply then small business growth for the population, such that they are available, competitively, advancing from what they currently have, to something much better, or even [say] indispensable.
This can also be useful in other places where some repressive authorities are, especially those that use food as a tool or that do not allow free markets.
Food Security Insurance
The USDA can facilitate an agricultural subsidy program in other countries through a novel food security insurance model. This means that people in the country can subscribe to an insurance premium to get access to cheap food items.
This insurance will be divided into basic premiums and, continuous rates for deliverables. This means that entering will be a basic amount, but ranking for priority for harvests will require additional rates. These would indicate possibilities immediately after subscribing and later on.
The premiums will be valid for a capped interval as well as to accommodate the special features of the model. This implies the ability to qualify for certain features at the start and then for others subsequently.
The core of the model is to subsidize some farming necessities of some crops. So, say there are 2 – 3 crops of staple foods in the country, the objective is to provide subsidized farming necessities to ensure that those crops are always available and absolutely affordable in the country regardless of income-level or crisis.
There are a number of agricultural necessities. They include irrigation, land, seeds, farm machinery, storage, pesticides, fertilizer and transportation to market.
There are locations where one of more of these necessities can be subsidized that would bring down the price of a staple food. Some of these may apply nationally, whole some regionally. But identifying what crops, what necessities and what region would determine the effectiveness of the insurance model.
So, the goal will be to amass lots of subscribers for the insurance by making an early attraction to involve winning food items by a draw, with those that have continuous rates. Then, after some people win, they are delivered the items.
However, everyone with a premium will be able to buy super cheap food items, after harvest. People with higher continuous rates too will benefit more with this, aside just basic premium.
The model will spur the agriculture sector, provide employment, draw in lots of their small businesses as agents, ensure exports from the United States and much more.
Venezuela has food shortages and could become a testbed for this solution, while others follow. Iran will also need lots of parallel programs, to ensure that the people have options to thrive amid uncertainty.
It is possible to develop a robust scope of work for this food security insurance within a week, and by March 31, 2026, a prototype is available.
Small Businesses
There are small business programs that would be important in some of the countries, as ways to support their per capita GDP, then position them for stability-focused growth.
There will be a new marketplace program, where-to-sell, within the country, for specific products or services [for high-demand] will be developed.
The prediction model may not be too direct, to avoid rush and speculations, but it can be suggestive, helping to point to where to look, for which sales are likely, especially within the country and if possible, some neighboring countries.
The goal will be to create demand, such that there are places to sell, and supply, while making enough profit for growth.
There can be new hiring solutions, where multiple people are hired on the same role and rank, but tiered. This means that they can be paid below minimum wage in the country, if they can work for capped hours.
This may guarantee youth employment, ability to apprentice and get paid, while offering services that don’t require heavy skills. There will be 3 – 4 tiers, as well as a maximum of 2 hours work per stretch, within a 10-hour interval.
The goal is to first ensure most people are affiliated or have with a job in the country, and then there are spreads of services to offer for which they would fill, without the burden of high wages.
For some of the nations with oil resources, there can be labor capital that will be used by small businesses to pay wages for the people hired on tier.
There will also be continuous training programs for them, such that they are aware of advances in technology and business solutions, to give new ideas about growth.
There are several other opportunities for small businesses including new tax programs, but products and services as well as reserves in the country and more.
Wartime USDA and SBA
The USDA and SBA have wartime responsibility for peacekeeping on behalf of the United States. There are uncertainties and vacuum that must not be unattended, given the examples of recent decades and how things went awry after a while in some places.
Even pursuing aspects of food security insurance in some regions and then exploring some small business programs that might fit in some places or for some demography may keep stability, over a longer term.
The urgency with this, is not just winning militarily. What happens next depends on the USDA and the SBA. The 33rd and current United States Secretary of Agriculture, Brooke L. Rollins and the 28th and current Administrator of the SBA, Kelly Loeffler, have a central role to play, for continuous peace, to prevent the United States from protracted conflicts on several fronts.
There is a new [March 1, 2026] report on NPR, U.S.-Israeli strikes in Iran continue into 2nd day, as the region faces turmoil, stating that, “Iranians and others across the Middle East awoke Sunday to a region in turmoil following the killing of Iran’s supreme leader in U.S. and Israeli air strikes.”
“The Iranian government, now without the country’s spiritual leader but with a military command structure still seemingly intact, continued strikes on Israel and on U.S. targets in Gulf states, Iraq and Jordan.”
“Iran had also made clear Saturday that it would also attack shipping vessels and other commercial interests, and announced it was closing the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for Gulf oil exports.”
“The OPEC group of oil producing countries was set to meet Sunday to decide on increasing production, hoping to avoid a severe rise in oil prices if supplies from the Gulf are restricted by the conflict.”
