By David Stephen
There is a recent [April 8, 2026] report on Reuters, IMF, World Bank and UN food agency say war is increasing food prices, insecurity, stating that, “The World Bank, International Monetary Fund and the U.N. World Food Programme warned on Wednesday that sharp increases in oil, natural gas and fertilizer prices triggered by the war in the Middle East will inevitably cause rising food prices and food insecurity.”
“In a joint statement issued after a meeting on the war, the leaders of the global institutions said the burden would fall most heavily on the world’s most vulnerable populations, particularly in low-income, import-dependent economies.”
“The statement said spikes in fuel prices and potential sharp increases in food prices were especially concerning in countries already facing fiscal constraints and high debt burdens, which would limit their ability to protect vulnerable households.”
“The leaders of the three institutions vowed to provide support in accordance with their mandates, and to lay the foundations for a resilient recovery
“IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told Reuters on Monday the IMF was also engaging with the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization on food security.”
“The World Food Programme said in mid-March that millions of people will faceacute hunger if the war continues into June. Georgieva said the IMF did not see a food crisis yet, but that could happen if the delivery of fertilizers was impaired.
Food Security Insurance
It is possible to make efforts against a substantial part of the effect of the Iran war — amid the ceasefire — by forming a coalition for international food security, with Arizona agribusiness at the center of exports, programs, jobs and earnings — which will also benefit food security locally.
The objective will be to lead a coalition for food security insurance, to provide agriculture necessities for farmers in tens of countries amid the uncertainties ahead
Simply, several countries have 2 – 3 staple foods. Agriculture necessities for the crops of those foods include land, seeds, irrigation, fertilizers, pesticides, farm machinery, storage and transport to market.
Depending on the type of crop or region of a country, if two or more of these are subsidized, food can be super affordable regardless of income level of any resident.
Also, aside from affordability, availability is also a feature, given that disruptions like COVID, the war in Ukraine and now the Iran war have made it obvious to seek subsidy models, in agriculture, for populations, since the next thing ahead that may cause disruption is unknown.
But how does the subsidy pay for itself, to keep the necessity directed? Food Security Insurance
Countries in different continents will buy what is called a food security insurance policy. It will have different premiums, such that those who subscribe to this insurance will be able to use it for affordable and available food on the shelves — after harvest.
To motivate large-scale purchases, some who buy certain premium will be told they will be able to win food items initially. This is different from the affordable food for all subscribers, ultimately. The initial goal is to make some people [say 15 – 20%] win food items first and have it delivered, so that the earnings can be channeled to the agriculture necessities. [Winning will be rotated for numbers and locations, to ensure it reaches most people over an interval.]
For those that buy higher premiums, they will not only be eligible to win initially, they will be able to buy more quantities and different items, not just one staple food stuff.
Most of the revenue will go into providing necessities for two crops, depending on which ones will be more pivotal and less susceptible to disruption. For example, in some places, irrigation may matter more, fertilizers may matter more in others or transport to market and so forth. Different strategies to make these possible in bulk will be explored, to ensure the model meets its objectives.
Coalition for International Food Security Insurance
It is possible to can organize a meeting between representatives of big agriculture and big insurance, to explore how to smoothen this food security insurance model, bringing Arizona agriculture companies and startups as well as insurance to the table, localizing advantage for the national and global markets.
Simply, the coalition can incorporate in Sedona, with organizations having stakes in it, such that the coordination of every part of the insurance is done from the company, bring in revenues, taxes, creating jobs and getting in the center of a new renaissance for global agriculture.
Advantages would abound for Verde Valley Community Supported Agriculture, Gowan Company, Martori Farms, CamelBackyard, Tessenderlo Kerley, Inc, Fertizona, Rancho Almasomos, AgroDyne Resources, Arizona Grain, OnePointOne, Agribusiness & Water Council of Arizona, Arizona Farm Bureau, Sagicor Life Insurance Company, CopperPoint Mutual Insurance Co. and so forth.
Even with the ceasefire, there could be uncertainty ahead, which might affect food prices in Latin America, Southeast Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, Oceania, Middle-East and others. Some of the countries may not be able to keep food prices down or guarantee supply.
Many of them are likely to welcome food security insurance, with this coalition, so long the model is properly structured, against all possible vulnerabiliti
Some of the necessities and solutions can be provided from Arizona, with lots of remote consultation, where physical travel is not advisable. The solution will also make fertilizer shortages less punitive, since the purchases can be possible at scale and usages, rationed, for the program. It will also provide Sedona a major advantage.
There could also be success for food security insurance in some countries such that most of their food stuff could be possible with this approach.
Even if the solution and details take a while to be fully worked out, organizing a meeting on this objective, in Sedona, will become a ray of hope, even as the 2-week ceasefire holds.
It is possible to have April-May, 2026 become food security insurance months, such that by May 10, substantial progress is made, that whatever the case — with return to normality — at the Strait of Hormuz, there is an alternative approach to counterbalance rising costs, as well as uncertainties, including for gas prices, inflation and so forth. There can be a way across from managing food security, against other challenges.
There is also a moral victory that this would mean and can be useful for positive adaptations, including for cognitive restructuring, for the people towards peace, especially in the Middle East, amid the negotiations.
It is possible to explore the postulation in Conceptual Biomarkers and Theoretical Biological Factors for Psychiatric and Intelligence Nosology.
