by dstepvd —
There is something mentally anomalous about any mass shooting — independent of living with a clinical mental disorder or not — for the individual. Tracking this anomaly is a chance to predict and prevent the next mass shooting, given that most mass shooters and violent offenders possess it. The anomaly is called consequences cuts. It means that the ability for the consequences of the outcome, to prevent the action — in the brain — was cut, breaching functional norms. Simply, offenses with severe consequences in society are often avoided because the brain can prospect those consequences, especially in affective ways, individually and for loved ones. However, for most suspects, the architecture and pathway for consequences in the brains became defective, resulting in the action. Now, how might it be possible to identify, track and restore those at the periphery of this anomaly? How will it be possible to match their permutations and prevent them, to save lives? How will it be possible to not just “see something, say something” too late or after the fact, but long before? How does solving crimes advance beyond seeking motives?
Theoretical Neuroscience
A conceptual way to describe how the human brain works is that there are stations and there are relays. Or, that there are destinations and there’s transportation between those destinations. So, all functions are mechanized, mostly at destinations, but their usefulness is obtained when relays get there [or leave]. Functions are assumed to be in four major divisions: memory, emotions, feelings and regulation of internal senses. These divisions have several subdivisions. For example, pain is a subdivision of feeling while hurt is a subdivision of emotion. [Intelligence, thought, planning and so forth are under memory. Respiration, digestion, and others are under regulation of internal signals.]
In general, from a young age, for humans, there is an understanding of pain or hurt, affectively. Also, there are lessons in nurture for the consequences of actions, sometimes preceded by warning or caution. So, what gets etched, in the mind, growing up, is that penalization for doing something wrong will result in a bad experience. This bad experience is often unwanted that even if a wrong thing would be done, it is done stealthily, gaining the good and avoiding the penalties. So, consequences, as a destination — within memory — broadens, becoming a key pathway in the brain, where relay summaries [from other destinations] often visit, to gauge what to say or do, [then] how, when, where, why and what, to ensure that lines are not crossed or the individual does not get caught.
Consequences architecture and pathway in the brain are almost ubiquitous for most people, regardless of mental disorder — or otherwise. They are almost as constant [or say anchored] as basic sensory interpretation. They are not as variable [for people] as [say] an emotion of trauma or a feeling of fear. Consequences are near-fixed. It is this stability that society runs on, building laws, enforcing rules, sharing core values, stating boundaries and so on. Society absolutely depends on consequences in the human brain to tame most people from bad actions. This indicates that a danger of anything is when it makes an individual forget [or abandon] the consequences of actions.
Cuts
Now, how do consequences break, in the brain? How does the knowledge that ruin or worse is inevitable, yet an individual carries out an action? What happens if this becomes frequent going straight to the wrong actions, especially without stealth or erroneously? What might be the trigger?
It can be argued that there have been several individuals, through history with heinous acts. It is also possible to say that recent reports of these may be more common but society is generally peaceful. The objective here to predict and prevent the problem, at any level, is to look at how it might be emanating, especially all the likely factors, and then develop a statewide or nationwide model, towards prevention.
Just like consequences is a destination within the memory, hate, vengefulness, anger, envy, retaliation, ideology are respective destinations within emotions. These destinations are sometimes problem relays in the brain, if there is a subject of memory [a person, a group, a faction and so on] that then relays there as well. Also, there is a factor of the media [social or traditional] which is a destination in memory, whose relays too, may bounce to pleasure and then less at consequences. Simply, in recent era, some actions that are supposed to be barred by consequences become inversed by the pleasure projection.
Simply, in the brain, any relay that become consistent, in precluding those to consequences or even those that do not allow consequences architecture to be fully visited, is a problematic relay. While planning and action may need to follow for a crime to complete, the takeoff point is where consequences are cut.
Prediction
Assuming:
M = is the unwanted event
C = consequences cuts
a = bounces that make consequences cuts likely
b = the value of M if C is 0
Then, expressing with linear regression:
M = aC + b
So, a is the slope, and b is the intercept.
Now, a could be say, visits to destinations of hate, or vengeance, and so forth or to those of media.
b means the state that consequences cuts is not a problem.
Now, two factors really matter to track in this, a and C. As a increases it means that M would be higher.
Since it is possible that there are several factors that could boost consequences cuts and then action, it is possible to have multiple variables of aC and just one
So,
M = a’C’ + a”C” + a’”C”’ + a””C”” + b
These factors all the possible destinations [hate, ideology, and others] that may induce consequences cuts.
Assigning values:
Consequences cuts can be assumed to range from 0.1 to 0.3, where it is dangerously low, enough to prompt the unwanted action. Simply, if it has any value between 0.1 to 0.3, action can be taken.
Then for a, it has to be high say between 70 to 100, to drive C to increase in ways to prompt action. Although, it is possible that a can be high but not drive C to actionable lows — or some high M.
How can people that have low C value be found and stopped, given that there are several high a values across questionable forums, personal interactions and so forth, but their C is not within 0.1 to 0.3
Seeking out these people is possible in categorizations. For example, internet forums are a source to seek them out, another is social groups, then reports of threats or danger made to law enforcement about some people, as well as some recent moves by some, like marking spots, getting materials, testing methods, acting out, refusing corrections and so forth.
Also, another way is that for some concerned loved ones, to know that this sort of prediction is now available, they may look at the sliding trajectory of the individual and begin to find if it could be something more than just a threat.
Prevention
As uncertainty mounts, with past events hovering over people at school, work, social gatherings and much else, in recent weeks, it is possible to begin exploring new maps and charts of news of places, people, and actions that may result in unwanted outcomes.
The first step is to draw possibilities with events in general, in places, and why they might become targets. Also, to explore recent mentions and the likelihood for spontaneity or planned outcomes.
Several law enforcement departments can begin to have these prediction model, especially against a lone wolf.
Conceptual Brain Science
The human mind, distinct from the body, can be conceptually described as the collection of all the electrical and chemical configurators — with their interactions and attributes, in sets, in clusters of neurons — across the central and peripheral nervous systems. Simply, the human mind is the set[s] of [neuro]configurators. Interactions means the strike of electrical configurators on chemical configurators, in sets. This means that anything that can have an effect on electrical configurators or chemical configurators can influence the mind. So, functions are from interactions. While attributes qualify the functions or determine the limits or extents for those functions.
It is assumed here that electrical and chemical signals of neurons are instead configurators, who do work in sets in clusters of neurons.
Consequences are a configuration, and when there is a problem, it could be a result of an incomplete architecture or faulty attributes.
Consequences Cuts and AI Psychosis Research Lab
Developing a complete model to prevent mass shootings could be a priority of present time. This is a starting point where nothing exists for now. The solution can be subsumed into an AI Psychosis Research Lab to model both AI effects on the mind and when consequences fail. Large language models [LLMs] may shape how to automate this as well.
There is a new [September 29, 2025] story in The Guardian, Nine people dead and scores injured over weekend of mass US shootings, stating that, “Six separate mass shootings bring tally to 324 this year, underscoring continuing US crisis of gun violence. The Gun Violence Archive, an online non-profit database which records mass shootings in America, added six fresh incidents over Saturday and Sunday. In 2023, the last year for which official figures are given, nearly 47,000 people died by the gun in the US, according to the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). It was the third-highest year on record, after a Covid pandemic-induced spike through the previous two years.”
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